Fitch Didn’t Downgrade The U.S.’s Credit Rating. It Downgraded its Macroeconomic Rating (and No One Should Care)

Hello Readers, I'm very excited to announce that I'm under contract with Viking Press of Penguin for my book on the Federal Reserve entitled "Picking Losers". I&
.
.
.
Before Silicon Valley Bank failed last week, I was considering writing a post examining the Federal Reserve’s policy framework in the context of the last sixty years of monetary policy’s history.
Normally I do not release pieces on Saturdays or Sundays. However, this is the third anniversary of the first piece I ever sent of this newsletter. That brief note, appropriately titled “Sign of
Special note to readers. Typically, when I haven’t written in a while for the newsletter I will write a few free pieces, and then write some premium pieces as a reward to
Financial crisis nerds have had quite a weekend. In short order the one-of-a-kind Silicon Valley Bank began to reportedly be experiencing losses, and large uninsured depositors began loudly and aggressively “pulling” their deposits.
This is a premium piece of Notes on the Crises. Thank you for being a paid subscriber. Lately, the 1970s have loomed large in economic commentary, thanks to a recurrence of panic over